Ugrás a tartalomhoz

 

Method for Analysis and Prediction of Dwell Times at Stops in Local Bus Transportation

  • Metaadatok
Tartalom: http://real.mtak.hu/55812/
Archívum: MTA Könyvtár
Gyűjtemény: Status = Published


Type = Article
Cím:
Method for Analysis and Prediction of Dwell Times at Stops in Local Bus Transportation
Létrehozó:
Csiszár, Csaba
Sándor, Zsolt Péter
Kiadó:
Taylor and Francis
Dátum:
2016
Téma:
HE11 Transport of persons / személyszállítás
T2 Technology (General) / műszaki tudományok általában
Tartalmi leírás:
The punctuality of local public bus transportation contributes to the service quality and has impact on mode
choice. Appropriate planning and control measures as well as adequate passenger information require efficient analysis
and prediction methods. Advanced fleet tracking systems provide enough data for these research purposes. The main
factors that cause schedule deviation has been identified through the analysis of the data. As important time elements
of the journey time are dwell times at stops, the research focused on it; however, the elaborated database structure is
adequate also for analysis of the other time elements, which coincides with our further research intentions too. Innovative
methods based on the historical data have been elaborated for the prediction of dwell times. The essence of the
method: multi-variate analysis of the dwell times by exploration of the significant influencing factors, and then prediction
of times based on the factors describing the certain situations. Soundness of the methods has been verified with
examples, and the results well approximated the real values.
Nyelv:
angol
Típus:
Article
PeerReviewed
info:eu-repo/semantics/article
Formátum:
text
Azonosító:
Csiszár, Csaba and Sándor, Zsolt Péter (2016) Method for Analysis and Prediction of Dwell Times at Stops in Local Bus Transportation. TRANSPORT (VILNIUS), 31. pp. 302-313. ISSN 1648-4142
Kapcsolat:
https://doi.org/10.3846/16484142.2016.1190402
MTMT:3075389; doi:10.3846/16484142.2016.1190402