Regional level analysis of the population by real data and projections in Hungary
  • Metaadatok
Tartalom: http://dx.doi.org/10.15196/RS03104
Archívum: MTA Könyvtár
Gyűjtemény: Status = Published


Type = Article
Cím:
Regional level analysis of the population by real data and projections in Hungary
Létrehozó:
Obádovics, Csilla
Dátum:
2013
Téma:
GF Human ecology. Anthropogeography / gazdasági-társadalmi földrajz
H Social Sciences (General) / társadalomtudomány általában
Tartalmi leírás:
The population projections of László Hablicsek (1953-2010) have made a major scientific
contribution to understanding the demographic processes of Hungary. Its social and
economic usefulness cannot be questioned; although, trends of the past ten years indicate
the need for some corrections. The present analysis shows that, for the past ten years, the
population estimates were very close to reality. There was no significant difference
between the estimated and real data; only last year?s data showed some variation (however,
it should be noted that the projections for smaller territories are in need of significant
corrections). In recent years, regional disparities in the country rather increased. The
migration towards large cities from undeveloped areas to more developed ones raise
dissonance among regions. The population concentration proved to be stronger than the
forecast, and the analysis showed that the regional concentration of the population, as well
as the loss of population, has further reinforced the unfavourable position of
underdeveloped regions at micro-regional level. Immigration from abroad further enhances
regional differences since immigrants presumably do not prefer rural, disadvantaged areas;
they most probably favour economically developed micro-regions, which are close to big
cities. The observed changes in the socio-economic environment require corrections in the
demographic projections for both the professional audience as well as actors in social
policy
Típus:
Article
PeerReviewed
Formátum:
text
Azonosító:
Obádovics, Csilla (2013) Regional level analysis of the population by real data and projections in Hungary. Regional Statistics : journal of the Hungarian Central Statistical Office, 3. pp. 57-78. ISSN 2063-9538
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